What occurs if it follows the US playbook?


As the USA strikes ahead with its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, hypothesis is rising over whether or not China will reply with its personal nationwide crypto technique.

On March 7, US President Donald Trump signed an govt order establishing a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” and a “Digital Asset Stockpile.” The reserves will initially be funded utilizing Bitcoin (BTC) and different digital property seized in authorities prison circumstances.

With the US shifting its stance on BTC, China might make strikes to keep away from falling behind. On March 3, Bitcoin advocate David Bailey, one of many Bitcoin supporters credited for “orange-pilling” Trump, stated that China could also be working by itself technique response to Trump’s govt order. 

Bailey stated the nation has reportedly held closed-door conferences on Bitcoin because the 2024 US elections, although no official affirmation has been made.

Supply: David Bailey

How a lot Bitcoin does China at present have? 

If China adopts a Bitcoin reserve technique, its holdings might rival these of the US. The US authorities at present holds 198,109 BTC, valued at greater than $17 billion.

As well as, White Home AI and crypto czar David Sacks has stated the US won’t promote Bitcoin within the reserve, however will as an alternative deal with it as a long-term retailer of worth. The federal government additionally intends to implement “budget-neutral methods” to purchase extra Bitcoin. 

China has by no means formally disclosed its Bitcoin holdings or any sale methods.

In 2020, Chinese language authorities seized almost 195,000 BTC from the PlusToken Ponzi scheme. A ruling from the Yancheng Intermediate Folks’s Courtroom said that income from the confiscated crypto property had been forfeited to the nationwide treasury.

On Jan. 23, CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Younger Ju speculated that China may need already offered its BTC stash. The chief stated it’s unlikely that the nation would maintain “censorship-resistant cash.” Nevertheless, he famous that this was solely his private opinion.

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Ju stated the Chinese language Communist Celebration transferred the cash to the nationwide treasury however didn’t make clear whether or not it offered the cash or not.

If China nonetheless holds the reserves and follows the US Bitcoin reserve technique, the nation could be one of many largest Bitcoin holders globally. 

Record of nations holding Bitcoin. Supply: Bitbo

Whereas Beijing’s stance on Bitcoin reserves stays unsure, Hong Kong lawmakers are exploring the potential for Bitcoin adoption inside China’s “one nation, two techniques” framework.

On Dec. 30, Wu Jiexhuang, a member of Hong Kong’s Legislative Council, stated Hong Kong might research the market influence of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds within the US. The official stated Trump’s proposal to make BTC a strategic reserve asset may influence conventional markets. 

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