One of the best Sunday on the sports activities calendar is upon us, however earlier than this yr’s subject of 68 begins to be introduced at 6 p.m. ET, let’s have a look at the three greatest questions heading into the 2025 bracket reveal.
1. Who would be the No. 1 general seed?
School basketball hasn’t had a two-horse race on the high of the game like this since. . .effectively, since final yr with UConn and Purdue. However even with the Huskies and Boilermakers — who would finally sq. off within the 2024 nationwide title recreation — there was no drama so far as which one was going to be the pre-tournament favourite in response to the Choice Committee.
That’s not the scenario this yr with Duke and Auburn.
The instances for each of the game’s high canines are nearly equally compelling.
On one hand, there’s Auburn, which has constructed maybe the strongest resume for the reason that NCAA launched the NET Rankings system. The Tigers have a whopping 17 Quadrant-I victories, simply essentially the most of any staff within the nation, and essentially the most of any staff for the reason that NCAA went to the quadrant system. They’re a mixed 11-0 in video games exterior of Quadrant-I, they performed the hardest schedule in America in response to each metric, and so they locked up an outright championship within the hardest league within the sport earlier than the ultimate week of the common season even began.
Auburn additionally, after Saturday’s loss to Tennessee within the SEC event semifinals, has misplaced three of its final 4 video games. The Committee is not presupposed to take latest play into heavier consideration than general resume, however there’s actually an opportunity that the Tigers taking part in the best way they did down the stretch and Duke taking part in the best way it did down the stretch may function kind of a de facto tiebreaker.
The case for the Blue Devils is fairly easy. The Blue Devils are the No. 1 staff within the nation in each main human polls, they’re No. 1 within the NET, No. 1 on KenPom, No. 1 within the BPI, No. 1 on T-Rank, and No. 1 in just about some other rating system yow will discover. The freshly topped ACC event champions have misplaced only one recreation since Nov. 26, oh and by the best way, they beat Auburn head-to-head again on Dec. 4.
Neither head coach was above doing a little politicking on Saturday.
For Jon Scheyer, that meant ensuring that everybody on the planet knew that star ahead Cooper Flagg, who sat out the ultimate two video games of the ACC event after struggling an ankle harm in Thursday’s quarterfinal, could be good to go for the Massive Dance.
Dan Gavitt simply mentioned on CBS that Duke/the ACC have communicated to the choice committee that Cooper Flagg shall be obtainable for the NCAA event.
— Nicole Auerbach (@NicoleAuerbach) March 15, 2025
For Bruce Pearl, the messaging was a bit extra direct.
Bruce Pearl with a message to the committee in his opening assertion:
“I imagine this staff, from begin to end, has completed sufficient to be the No. 1 general seed for the NCAA Match…dropping to Tennessee — a staff ranked fifth or sixth within the nation — shouldn’t essentially knock us…
— David Cobb (@DavidWCobb) March 15, 2025
A yr in the past, UConn grew to become the primary No. 1 general seed in 11 years to win the nationwide championship. Both Duke or Auburn can have an important likelihood at making it two in a row, however just one will get the chance.
2. Simply what number of groups does the SEC get into the sector?
It’s been a foregone conclusion for weeks, possibly months, that this yr’s SEC was going to set a brand new report for essentially the most variety of groups from a single convention in an NCAA event.
The present report is 11 from the Massive East again in 2011. The query now isn’t if the SEC goes to interrupt the report, it’s by what number of groups.
It might appear as if 11 groups from the SEC — Auburn, Florida, Tennessee, Alabama, Kentucky, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Missouri, Mississippi State, Georgia and Oklahoma — are all stone chilly locks to be within the subject of 68. Three different groups — Arkansas, Vanderbilt and Texas — are firmly on the bubble, with most bracketologists feeling just like the Razorbacks and Commodores shall be within the subject, however being much less sure in regards to the Longhorns’ prospects.
The report goes to occur. It’s only a matter of whether or not the brand new mark is ready at 12, 13 or 14. Regardless, it’s possible going to be a very long time, if ever, earlier than we see the report matched or surpassed.
3. How a lot will Sunday’s championship video games matter?
The NCAA Match Choice Committee has been in all places for the final decade in terms of the matter of how a lot the video games which can be performed on Sunday are bearing in mind for the ultimate bracket.
One yr, they’ll say that the bracket is mainly set on Saturday night time and a few contingency brackets are created in case an enormous upset occurs in one of many video games on Sunday. In different years, they’ll dismiss the notion that the Sunday video games are performed too late within the course of for them to regulate on the fly.
How will they deal with this season? Who the hell is aware of?
Possibly Florida vs. Tennessee is a de facto battle for the fourth No. 1 seed. Possibly the winner of Maryland vs. Michigan will get a 4-seed and the loser shall be resigned to the 5-line. Possibly the Committee has already determined that VCU is out if it doesn’t win its A-10 championship recreation towards UAB.
We received’t know till we see the outcomes and get a bracket hours later.
What we do know is that there’s nonetheless a minimum of one potential bid thief on the market that the Committee should account for.
Memphis is within the subject. There’s no query about it. UAB shouldn’t be. The Tigers and Blazers will meet Sunday afternoon for the American Athletic event championship. If UAB prevails, it is going to completely knock out the staff that’s at present slated to be the final squad within the subject of 68.
The drama shall be quick and unrelenting all day on Sunday. And that’s earlier than we get a bracket.